Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.032015 0.035111 0.038253 0.041676 0.045291 0.048990 0.053055
2025-08-31 0.027970 0.032588 0.037452 0.042930 0.048905 0.055198 0.062305
2025-09-07 0.024699 0.030402 0.036609 0.043807 0.051867 0.060559 0.070586
2025-09-14 0.021932 0.028416 0.035690 0.044345 0.054260 0.065166 0.077972
2025-09-21 0.019482 0.026514 0.034628 0.044514 0.056073 0.069008 0.084428
2025-09-28 0.018049 0.025643 0.034623 0.045785 0.059054 0.074112 0.092280
2025-10-05 0.015886 0.023679 0.033146 0.045164 0.059705 0.076446 0.096892
2025-10-12 0.014344 0.022355 0.032325 0.045226 0.061076 0.079550 0.102349
2025-10-19 0.013241 0.021496 0.032002 0.045824 0.063035 0.083309 0.108551
2025-10-26 0.012408 0.020923 0.031981 0.046751 0.065360 0.087486 0.115243
2025-11-02 0.010627 0.018906 0.029967 0.045047 0.064350 0.087583 0.117022
2025-11-09 0.009521 0.017750 0.029013 0.044634 0.064891 0.089516 0.120968
2025-11-16 0.008464 0.016602 0.028033 0.044173 0.065386 0.091432 0.124969
2025-11-23 0.008079 0.016436 0.028391 0.045484 0.068153 0.096180 0.132461
2025-11-30 0.007602 0.016088 0.028467 0.046398 0.070406 0.100297 0.139205
2025-12-07 0.007061 0.015593 0.028300 0.046958 0.072185 0.103819 0.145228
2025-12-14 0.006461 0.014949 0.027876 0.047134 0.073440 0.106671 0.150423
2025-12-21 0.006213 0.014873 0.028278 0.048453 0.076210 0.111456 0.158045
2025-12-28 0.005495 0.013921 0.027316 0.047809 0.076327 0.112838 0.161400
2026-01-04 0.005008 0.013334 0.026872 0.047874 0.077377 0.115402 0.166237
2026-01-11 0.004686 0.013017 0.026825 0.048494 0.079171 0.118925 0.172290
2026-01-18 0.004458 0.012859 0.027017 0.049456 0.081432 0.123059 0.179134
2026-01-25 0.003713 0.011609 0.025394 0.047689 0.079889 0.122199 0.179590